Ballin
Fannie Ngo

“Ballin”
This is our rendition of the classic Pachinko machine. This project
demonstrates how chaos theory and probability are often related.
The
probability that the ball will fall into a certain slot based on the trajectory
with which the ball is hit. The slightest change in trajectory can cause the
probability to change, based on where the ball hits. The overall chance that
the ball will fall into a certain slot depends on how the ball hits the first
peg. In knowing this, it is possible to calculate the probability that a ball
will follow a given path depending on where it drops, into a certain slot.
Since
the probability is 1:2 that a ball will fall to the left, the probability is
1:2 that it will arrive at the peg to the left of the one it fell onto. At this
peg, the probability is again 1:2 that it will fall to the left, making the
probability 1:2 x 1:2 = 1:4 that it will arrive at the bumper below and to its
left.
Using
this logic, you can calculate the probability that a ball will follow any given
path. The pegs on the project simulate Pascals
triangle, making it easier to determine the probability.